General Outlook


May 12, 2005


Cumin Seeds
Since the last weeks approx. on same price levels. Turkey still has difficulties to compete with the origin Syria. Stocks available and it is still hard to forsee what will happen to new crop quantity. Most likely it will continue on the same price-levels as above. Buyers not keen on taking early positions of new crop merchandise as prices might even weaken all new crop in Turkey and Syria will enter the market in July.

Anise Seeds
Prices have firmed up in the last days. This not due to demand by importers but mostly due to local demand by currently the 4 main `Raki` producers ( Turkish Anise Seed beverage). As the monopoly has been lifted up last year more producers have entered the domestic market with the production of Raki. These producers are currently competing each other by securing raw material anise seeds for the production of Raki. Further the first news is coming in that cultivation of Anise Seeds is half comparing with last years cultivation. We expect large downfall in crop quantity and if demand from buyers abroad will be more active we even expect higher levels for the months to come. New Turkish crop available by 2nd half of July.

Poppy Seeds
Very steady since months for Blue Poppy. White Poppy prices strongly up due to shortage of raw material in combination with demand from abroad. New crop Poppy seeds coming out during the month of August.

Fennel Seeds
We notice stable prices since the last months. As new crop only by end of August we might see some firming up of the prices, just depending on the demand. Of course Turkey is competing with cheaper origins like India. Of course quality is premium from Turkey with good Volatile Oil level and often nice coloured seeds, well cleaned.

Laurel Leaves
The market for pressed material has stablelized between 1800 – 1850 level. Buyers just not willing to pay much higher prices for FAQ and Semi Select pressed material. Raw material still available. We do not expect market to come down before new crop enters by end of August / September. Demand from Hong Kong importers is high during September / October and for sure we will not see the prices back to the levels that we have seen 3 years ago of $ 1000 – 1200 for pressed material. Sales of even $ 900 – 950 per M/t have been reported at that time for FAQ material. Our supplier is still able to offer limited quantity of nice Fancy Hand Select 4-7cm and 5-10 material from stock and ready for prompt shipments.

Oregano
Very stable and with new crop coming ahead in July some exporters started their `sale` with reducing their prices in order to clear up their stocks. An excellent time to take some extra coverage at attractive levels before the new season starts. New crop will be good as weather conditions are favourable. However, it all depends on the prices for the raw material that producers are willing to give. Villagers just have no interest to cut the wild oregano if prices to low. We expect new crop prices to be slightly above the levels mentioned in our price list above.

Sage
Weather conditions are favourable. New crop will enter same periode as Oregano. Total crop quantity in Turkey is not very high and indications are between 350 – 500 M/t in total. That`s the main reason why prices are quit firm for the real Sage `Salvia Triloba`. Collection of the raw material is a short periode and is restricted to certain area`s. As were Oregano is widely grown all over Turkey, Sage is mainly from the South-West and South of Turkey.

Sun Dried Tomatoes
Limited stocks available. New crop drying will start as from 15th of July on to the 1st week of September. Contract should be made at this stage for large quantity or product with a specific requirement regarding SO2, Moisture & Salt Level of the product.

Capers
New crop collecting will start by end of June / July and will last untill mid September. Mostly a periode of 90 days. Prices and availability of Capers will fully depend on the activity by exporters / producers and how much the market is willing to pay for the raw material. Above prices are for crop 2004 merchandise and all sizes can be offered for prompt shipments. We assume that prices have come to lowest levels and we expect new crop prices either be the same or slightly higher.


Please contact us should you have any questions or additional info regarding above items.

Mondial Int'l Agency Ltd.